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#1016820 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:57 AM 15.Sep.2020)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM TEDDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202020
0900 UTC TUE SEP 15 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 46.0W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 50SE 20SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 46.0W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 45.5W

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 14.4N 47.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 90SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 15.6N 48.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.8N 50.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 18.2N 51.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 35SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 19.7N 52.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 21.0N 54.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 23.5N 56.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 26.5N 59.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 46.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE