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#1016868 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:36 AM 15.Sep.2020)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM TEDDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202020
1500 UTC TUE SEP 15 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 47.0W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT.......140NE 60SE 40SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 47.0W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 46.6W

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 14.9N 48.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 90SE 50SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.1N 49.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 70SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 17.4N 50.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 18.9N 52.3W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 20.3N 53.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.5N 55.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 24.0N 57.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 27.1N 60.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 47.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY