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The 2021 Altantic Hurricane Season Begins June 1st, 2021. 2020 is officially over, but still a 30% chance area lingers.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 85 (Zeta) , Major: 148 (Laura) Florida - Any: 835 (Michael) Major: 835 (Michael)
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#1016874 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:48 AM 15.Sep.2020)

Tropical Storm Vicky Discussion Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL212020
1100 AM AST Tue Sep 15 2020

Although the stiff westerly shear (magnitude of greater than 50 kt)
continues to affect Vicky`s vertical structure this morning, a 1107
UTC METOP-B scatterometer pass indicated that the cyclone is
maintaining 45-kt sustained winds well to the east-northeast of
the center. Therefore, once again for this advisory, the initial
intensity is held at 45 kt.

The ECMWF/FV3 SHIPS intensity models and the deterministic
guidance, including the simulated infrared imagery product, agree
with Vicky weakening to a remnant low in 36 hours and dissipating
by 72 hours due to the persistent strong shear.

The initial motion is estimated to be west-northwestward, or 295/8
kt. Vicky is forecast to continue on this general motion through
Wednesday night within the low-level tradewind flow. No
significant changes were made to the previous advisory, and the new
NHC forecast is based on the HCCA and TVCA consensus aids.


INIT 15/1500Z 20.6N 31.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 16/0000Z 21.3N 32.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 16/1200Z 21.9N 34.0W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 17/0000Z 22.3N 36.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 17/1200Z 22.2N 38.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 18/0000Z 22.2N 39.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 18/1200Z...DISSIPATED

Forecaster Roberts