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The 2021 Altantic Hurricane Season Begins June 1st, 2021. 2020 is officially over, but still a 30% chance area lingers.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 85 (Zeta) , Major: 148 (Laura) Florida - Any: 835 (Michael) Major: 835 (Michael)
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#1016874 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:48 AM 15.Sep.2020)
TCDAT1

Tropical Storm Vicky Discussion Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL212020
1100 AM AST Tue Sep 15 2020

Although the stiff westerly shear (magnitude of greater than 50 kt)
continues to affect Vicky`s vertical structure this morning, a 1107
UTC METOP-B scatterometer pass indicated that the cyclone is
maintaining 45-kt sustained winds well to the east-northeast of
the center. Therefore, once again for this advisory, the initial
intensity is held at 45 kt.

The ECMWF/FV3 SHIPS intensity models and the deterministic
guidance, including the simulated infrared imagery product, agree
with Vicky weakening to a remnant low in 36 hours and dissipating
by 72 hours due to the persistent strong shear.

The initial motion is estimated to be west-northwestward, or 295/8
kt. Vicky is forecast to continue on this general motion through
Wednesday night within the low-level tradewind flow. No
significant changes were made to the previous advisory, and the new
NHC forecast is based on the HCCA and TVCA consensus aids.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 15/1500Z 20.6N 31.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 16/0000Z 21.3N 32.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 16/1200Z 21.9N 34.0W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 17/0000Z 22.3N 36.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 17/1200Z 22.2N 38.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 18/0000Z 22.2N 39.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 18/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Roberts