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Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued for area in the East-Central Atlantic, only with 10% chance for development, not expected to do much.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 240 (Idalia) , Major: 240 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 240 (Idalia) Major: 240 (Idalia)
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#1063554 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:33 PM 27.Sep.2021)
TCMAT3

HURRICANE SAM FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182021
0300 UTC TUE SEP 28 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 53.2W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 956 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT.......110NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 53.2W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 52.9W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.5N 54.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.4N 55.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 19.3N 56.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 20.6N 58.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 22.2N 59.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 24.3N 61.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 29.6N 61.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 37.5N 56.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 53.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE