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Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued for area in the East-Central Atlantic, only with 10% chance for development, not expected to do much.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 240 (Idalia) , Major: 240 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 240 (Idalia) Major: 240 (Idalia)
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#1064239 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:39 PM 02.Oct.2021)
TCMAT3

HURRICANE SAM FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182021
2100 UTC SAT OCT 02 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.4N 58.2W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT.......180NE 210SE 160SW 190NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 300SE 330SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.4N 58.2W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.8N 58.7W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 36.8N 56.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 190SE 170SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 38.6N 53.6W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 190SE 190SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 40.8N 49.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 90SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 200SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 44.7N 44.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 60SE 30SW 10NW.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE 90SW 40NW.
34 KT...190NE 240SE 250SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 49.3N 40.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 120SE 100SW 60NW.
34 KT...240NE 330SE 380SW 290NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 51.6N 38.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 120SE 110SW 70NW.
34 KT...300NE 480SE 480SW 320NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 53.0N 32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 60.0N 28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.4N 58.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE