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#10842 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:33 PM 28.Sep.2004)
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132004
0300Z WED SEP 29 2004

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 46.5W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 75SE 25SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 220SE 280SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 46.5W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 46.5W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.7N 46.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 30.5N 47.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 32.3N 48.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 35NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 34.0N 48.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 35NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 38.0N 47.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 35NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 41.0N 42.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 43.5N 32.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N 46.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

FORECASTER STEWART