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#1105975 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:47 AM 06.Sep.2022)
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062022
0900 UTC TUE SEP 06 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 65.4W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 90SE 20SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..135NE 60SE 30SW 105NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 65.4W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 65.3W

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 24.1N 65.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 30SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 25.0N 65.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 26.2N 65.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 27.8N 65.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 29.6N 64.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 80SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 31.6N 62.7W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 140SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 37.2N 55.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 42.8N 47.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N 65.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG