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Chill falls over the Atlantic as the official season heads towards close
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 97 (Idalia) , Major: 97 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 97 (Idalia) Major: 97 (Idalia)
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#1150484 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:50 PM 30.Aug.2023)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM IDALIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102023
0300 UTC THU AUG 31 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 80.0W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 18 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT.......140NE 180SE 50SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 80.0W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 80.9W

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 33.9N 77.4W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 90SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 33.9N 73.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE 140SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 33.2N 70.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 70SE 130SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 32.3N 69.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...170NE 70SE 80SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 31.6N 68.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 0SE 40SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 31.4N 67.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 0SE 30SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 32.0N 65.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 33.5N 63.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.0N 80.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 31/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH