F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


There is currently nothing on the horizon tropically in the Atlantic before Hurricane Season starts on June 1st.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 261 (Idalia) , Major: 261 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 261 (Idalia) Major: 261 (Idalia)
 
Show Selection:
Show plain - Location:
#1152793 (Received by flhurricane at: 12:02 PM 14.Sep.2023)
TCMAT4

HURRICANE MARGOT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142023
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1500 UTC THU SEP 14 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.5N 39.8W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 978 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 70NW.
50 KT.......100NE 130SE 60SW 100NW.
34 KT.......170NE 200SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 280SE 370SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.5N 39.8W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.3N 40.1W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 36.8N 39.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 36.7N 38.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 36.2N 38.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...200NE 120SE 110SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 35.5N 39.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE 110SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 35.0N 41.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 35.1N 42.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 37.5N 43.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 40.0N 39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.5N 39.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER FRACASSO/BLAKE