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Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


There is currently nothing on the horizon tropically in the Atlantic before Hurricane Season starts on June 1st.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 262 (Idalia) , Major: 262 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 262 (Idalia) Major: 262 (Idalia)
 
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#1153898 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:53 PM 21.Sep.2023)
TCMAT1

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162023
0300 UTC FRI SEP 22 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 75.3W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......210NE 0SE 0SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 0SE 0SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 75.3W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 75.3W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 31.2N 75.5W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...280NE 50SE 60SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 32.5N 76.1W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 0NW.
34 KT...380NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 34.4N 76.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...380NE 120SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 36.4N 76.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 37.9N 76.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 39.0N 75.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.5N 75.3W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 22/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG