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| #213926 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:03 PM 05.Sep.2008) TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 500 PM AST FRI SEP 05 2008 ...POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IKE HEADING TOWARD THE BAHAMAS... A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. ALL INTERESTS IN THE REST OF THE BAHAMAS...CUBA...SOUTH FLORIDA... AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.1 WEST OR ABOUT 430 MILES...690 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND ABOUT 460 MILES... 735 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND. IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. A MOTION TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TOMORROW...WITH A GENERAL MOTION TO THE WEST EXPECTED BY SUNDAY. ON THIS TRACK...IKE COULD BE NEAR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS EARLY SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT IKE IS EXPECTED TO BE A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT NEARS THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES...195 KM. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE HURRICANE HUNTER REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 958 MB...28.29 INCHES. REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...22.9 N...64.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN |
