|
Show Selection: |
| #214019 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:03 PM 05.Sep.2008) TCMAT4 HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 0300 UTC SAT SEP 06 2008 AT 1100 PM...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 11 PM...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA ON SATURDAY. ALL INTERESTS IN THE REST OF THE BAHAMAS...CUBA...SOUTH FLORIDA... AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 65.6W AT 06/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 45SW 50NW. 34 KT.......105NE 90SE 90SW 105NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 120SE 120SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 65.6W AT 06/0300Z AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 64.8W FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.3N 67.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 45SW 50NW. 34 KT...105NE 90SE 90SW 105NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 22.0N 70.3W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 45SW 50NW. 34 KT...105NE 90SE 90SW 105NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 21.9N 72.8W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 21.9N 75.3W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.9N 79.6W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 24.5N 82.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 26.0N 84.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.6N 65.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA |
