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| #372736 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:53 PM 31.Aug.2010) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM FIONA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082010 2100 UTC TUE AUG 31 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA * ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FIONA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 57.7W AT 31/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 21 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 0SE 0SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 0SE 0SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 57.7W AT 31/2100Z AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 56.9W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.9N 60.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 20.2N 63.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 23.0N 66.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 45SE 30SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 26.5N 67.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 45SE 30SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 33.5N 67.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 57.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
