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| #375514 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:55 AM 12.Sep.2010) TCMAT1 HURRICANE IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010 1500 UTC SUN SEP 12 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 45.7W AT 12/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 15SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT.......120NE 80SE 80SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 45.7W AT 12/1500Z AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 44.9W FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 17.8N 47.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT... 70NE 55SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 110SE 90SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 18.0N 49.8W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...160NE 130SE 120SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 18.4N 51.8W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...160NE 130SE 120SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 19.0N 53.6W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 20.7N 56.7W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT. 50 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 22.6N 59.6W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 24.5N 62.5W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 45.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/BRENNAN |
