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| #375785 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:52 AM 13.Sep.2010) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JULIA ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010 1100 AM AST MON SEP 13 2010 ...JULIA MOVING AWAY FROM THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.9N 26.1W ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM W OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...INCLUDING MAIO...SAO TIAGO... FOGO...AND BRAVA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 26.1 WEST. JULIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF JULIA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS... AND JULIA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN SQUALLS ARE OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...BUT SHOULD DIMINISH LATER TODAY. RAINFALL...THE RAINFALL THREAT FROM JULIA ACROSS THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS WILL BE DIMINISHING TODAY AS THE STORM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST PORTION OF THE ISLANDS WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 4 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/BRENNAN |
