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#3761 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 AM 04.Aug.2004)
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST WED AUG 04 2004

...POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING THROUGH
THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST LUCIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUADELOUPE...MARTINIQUE
...DOMINICA...ST. MAARTEN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND FOR PUERTO
RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
AND HAITI LATER TODAY.

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE
60.7 WEST OR JUST EAST OF ST. LUCIA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 25 MPH...41 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD
BRING THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION THROUGH THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM. LOCALLY
STRONGER WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS...ESPECIALLY
ABOVE 1000 FEET. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS
CURRENTLY ENROUTE TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.

SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE
WINDWARD AND SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...13.8 N... 60.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 25 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM AST.

FORECASTER BEVEN