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| #376291 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:50 PM 15.Sep.2010) TCMAT2 HURRICANE JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010 2100 UTC WED SEP 15 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 33.5W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 953 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 25SW 40NW. 34 KT.......110NE 90SE 70SW 110NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 180SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 33.5W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 33.0W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 20.6N 35.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 45SE 35SW 55NW. 34 KT...125NE 95SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 22.6N 38.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 55SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...135NE 110SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 24.3N 42.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 55SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...135NE 110SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 26.0N 45.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 55SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 30.0N 49.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 55SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 34.0N 49.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 36.0N 45.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 33.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
