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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 276 (Idalia) , Major: 276 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 276 (Idalia) Major: 276 (Idalia)
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#376335 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 PM 15.Sep.2010)
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
0300 UTC THU SEP 16 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IGOR.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 56.5W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 942 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT.......210NE 175SE 140SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..510NE 360SE 330SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 56.5W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 56.1W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 20.8N 57.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 40SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...210NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 21.7N 59.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...225NE 180SE 150SW 195NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 22.6N 60.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...225NE 180SE 150SW 195NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 24.0N 62.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...225NE 180SE 150SW 195NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 27.5N 65.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 100NW.
34 KT...235NE 210SE 165SW 210NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 31.5N 65.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 36.5N 60.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 56.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG