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| #376340 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:49 PM 15.Sep.2010) TCMAT2 HURRICANE JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010 0300 UTC THU SEP 16 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 34.6W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 962 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 25SW 40NW. 34 KT.......110NE 90SE 70SW 110NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 210SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 34.6W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 33.8W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 21.7N 36.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 75SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 23.6N 40.4W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...135NE 105SE 75SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 25.3N 43.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...135NE 105SE 75SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 27.0N 46.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 31.5N 49.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...135NE 120SE 90SW 105NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 35.0N 48.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 36.5N 43.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 34.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
