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| #376884 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:35 PM 17.Sep.2010) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132010 1000 PM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010 ...KARL EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE SOON OVER THE HIGH MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.6N 97.4W ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM ESE OF PUEBLA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARL WAS LOCATED INLAND MEXICO NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.4 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KARL IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...KARL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
