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| #387014 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 PM 01.Nov.2010) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM TOMAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 0300 UTC TUE NOV 02 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN JAMAICA...HAITI...AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TOMAS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 70.8W AT 02/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 60SE 60SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 70.8W AT 02/0300Z AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 70.3W FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 13.7N 72.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...105NE 45SE 20SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 13.9N 73.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...105NE 45SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 14.2N 74.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 15SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...105NE 60SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 14.6N 75.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT...105NE 75SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 16.0N 75.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 18.5N 73.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 21.0N 70.5W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 70.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
