Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane CenterHurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Nothing currently in the Atlantic Basin, for Late October the West Caribbean is usually where to monitor.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 10 (Nate) , Major: 28 (Maria) Florida - Any: 38 (Irma) Major: 38 (Irma)
None
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
ADS
Login to remove ads

 
Show Selection:
Show plain - Location:
#4356 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 PM 11.Aug.2004)
TCMAT3
HURRICANE CHARLEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032004
0300Z THU AUG 12 2004

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING PROVINCES OF
WESTERN CUBA...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...
MATANZAS...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. THIS WATCH WILL PROBABLY BE
CHANGED TO A HURRICANE WARNING EARLY THURSDAY.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM DRY
TORTUGAS TO OCEAN REEF INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...AND FROM FLAMINGO
NORTHWARD TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR A
PORTION OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA
EARLY THURSDAY.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 78.7W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 75SE 30SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 100SE 50SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 78.7W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 78.2W

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 19.6N 80.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 30SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 22.5N 82.3W...NEARING CUBA
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 25.5N 82.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 29.5N 81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 75NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 38.0N 77.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 46.5N 68.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 51.5N 53.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 78.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z

FORECASTER AVILA