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2024's Atlantic name list reuses 2018s, with Milton replacing Michael, and Francine Replacing Florence.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 248 (Idalia) , Major: 248 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 248 (Idalia) Major: 248 (Idalia)
 
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#44611 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 PM 07.Sep.2005)
TCDAT4
HURRICANE MARIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED SEP 07 2005

DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH MARIA IS AGAIN DECREASING AS THE
HURRICANE INGESTS DEEP-LAYER COOLER AND DRYER AIR. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY REMAINS 65 KT BASED ON QUIKSCAT DATA AT 2106Z....AND A
COMPROMISE OF 45 KT...55 KT...AND 77 KT SATELLITE INTENSITY
ESTIMATES FROM SAB...TAFB...AND AFWA RESPECTIVELY. MARIA SHOULD
LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS IN THE NEXT 12-24 HR...BUT IS LIKELY
TO CONTINUE AS A STRONG EXTRATROPICAL LOW FOR THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

MARIA IS MOVING 050/12. A GENERAL NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITHOUT
MUCH ACCELERATION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 120 HR. THE NEW
FORECAST TRACK IS DONE THE CENTER OF THE ENVELOPE OF GUIDANCE FOR
THE FIRST 36 HR AND ON THE LEFT SIDE AFTER THAT. THE 72-120 HR
PORTION OF THE TRACK IS NUDGED TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK.

THE INITIAL AND FORECAST WIND RADII HAVE BEEN REVISED ON THE BASIS
OF THE QUIKSCAT DATA.

FORECASTER BEVEN


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 08/0300Z 37.5N 49.4W 65 KT
12HR VT 08/1200Z 38.6N 47.7W 65 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT 09/0000Z 40.2N 45.3W 60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 09/1200Z 41.7N 43.0W 60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 10/0000Z 43.2N 41.0W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 11/0000Z 47.0N 36.9W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 12/0000Z 52.0N 31.0W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 13/0000Z 58.0N 27.0W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL