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There is currently nothing on the horizon tropically in the Atlantic before Hurricane Season starts on June 1st.
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| #463388 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:50 PM 30.Sep.2011) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011 1100 PM AST FRI SEP 30 2011 ...OPHELIA CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWARD...EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR NOAA BUOY 41049 OVERNIGHT... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.2N 63.1W ABOUT 435 MI...700 KM SSE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.1 WEST. OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BRINGING THE CORE OF OPHELIA EAST OF BERMUDA LATE SATURDAY. A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST SHOULD BEGIN ON SUNDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL WEAKENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM. NOAA BUOY 41049...LOCATED ABOUT 90 MILES TO THE NORTH OF OPHELIA...RECENTLY REPORTED A 1 MINUTE SUSTAINED WIND OF 45 MPH...72 KM/H...WITH A PEAK GUST TO 54 MPH...86 KM/H. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 956 MB...28.23 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA STARTING SATURDAY AFTERNOON. SURF...LARGE SWELLS CREATED BY OPHELIA WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS ALONG THE SOUTH-FACING BEACHES OF BERMUDA. RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 1 INCH CAN BE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA IN ASSOCIATION WITH OPHELIA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN |
