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#47356 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 PM 20.Sep.2005)
TCMAT3
HURRICANE RITA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182005
0300Z WED SEP 21 2005

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO
KEY WEST AND DRY TORTUGAS.

AT 11 PM EDT...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER
FLORIDA KEYS HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE EAST AND NORTH TO OCEAN REEF...INCLUDING
FLORIDA BAY.

AT 11 PM EDT...ALL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE HABANA...AND LA HABANA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE
OF PINAR DEL RIO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 83.2W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 25SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 45SE 40SW 45NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 60SW 105NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 83.2W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 82.7W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 24.2N 85.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 75SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 24.4N 87.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 85SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 24.6N 89.4W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 90SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 25.1N 91.4W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 27.1N 94.7W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 100SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 30.5N 96.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 34.5N 96.5W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.1N 83.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

FORECASTER STEWART