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Tracking a Caribbean Wave and keeping an eye on the potential for new Caribbean Gyre/Trough development next week
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 15 (Nate) , Major: 33 (Maria) Florida - Any: 43 (Irma) Major: 43 (Irma)
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#48364 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:46 PM 24.Sep.2005)
TCDAT3
TROPICAL STORM RITA DISCUSSION NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT SEP 24 2005

RITA HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INLAND. INITIAL INTENSITY
IS ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR BUT WIND GUSTS ARE
PROBABLY HIGHER. FURTHER WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED AND RITA IS
EXPECTED TO BE A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO.

RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS. STEERING
CURRENTS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME VERY LIGHT SO ONLY A SMALL EASTWARD
DRIFT IS ANTICIPATED BEYOND 24 HOURS. RITA SHOULD PRODUCE
TORRENTIAL RAIN ALONG ITS PATH.

BECAUSE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND ABOUT 150 N MI SOUTH OF
THE CENTER...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
COAST FROM HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA.

FORECASTER AVILA


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 24/2100Z 32.1N 94.0W 45 KT
12HR VT 25/0600Z 33.5N 93.8W 30 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 25/1800Z 35.0N 93.0W 25 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 26/0600Z 35.0N 91.5W 25 KT...INLAND
48HR VT 26/1800Z 35.0N 90.0W 20 KT...INLAND
72HR VT 27/1800Z 34.5N 89.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
96HR VT 28/1800Z 34.5N 89.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
120HR VT 29/1800Z 34.5N 89.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING