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#49962 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:43 PM 04.Oct.2005)
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM STAN ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT TUE OCT 04 2005

...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE AS STAN MOVES FARTHER INLAND...

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL
COASTAL WARNINGS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM STAN WAS LOCATED
INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 95.6 WEST OR ABOUT 105
MILES... 170 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO.

STAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR... AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL THE CIRCULATION
DISSIPATES OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF EASTERN MEXICO WITHIN THE NEXT 12
TO 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...PARTICULARLY OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN. STAN IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES
... 85 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.

STAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. RAINFALL OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...IS POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN IN THE STATES OF VERACRUZ...PUEBLA...AND OAXACA. THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...17.8 N... 95.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 PM CDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN