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#5077 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:28 AM 14.Aug.2004)
TCMAT3
HURRICANE CHARLEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032004
1500Z SAT AUG 14 2004

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA STATE LINE
INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...THE TIDAL POTOMAC...
CHESAPEAKE BAY AND DELAWARE BAY. AT 11 AM EDT...HURRICANE WARNINGS
ARE DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA STATE LINE NORTHWARD TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY
INCLUDING ALL OF THE TIDAL POTOMAC...CHESAPEAKE AND DELAWARE BAYS.
AT 11 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD FROM
SANDY HOOK TO THE MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING NEW YORK
HARBOR AND LONG ISLAND SOUND.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.2N 79.0W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 24 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 100SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.2N 79.0W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 79.7W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 36.7N 76.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 41.0N 74.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 44.6N 69.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 47.0N 65.0W...EXTRATOPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 49.0N 54.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 49.0N 44.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 49.0N 31.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.2N 79.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

FORECASTER LAWRENCE