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| #53075 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:49 PM 22.Oct.2005) TCMAT4 HURRICANE WILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL242005 2100Z SAT OCT 22 2005 AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM TITUSVILLE SOUTHWARD. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS... INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY. AT 5 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY NORTHWARD TO STEINHATCHEE RIVER... AND ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF TITUSVILLE NORTHWARD TO FERNANDINA BEACH. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAN FELIPE TO CHETUMAL ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF SAN FELIPE TO CELESTUN. AT 5 PM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PROVINCES OF CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA...AND PINAR DEL RIO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 87.1W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 957 MB EYE DIAMETER 75 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. 50 KT.......120NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 120SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..375NE 300SE 100SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 87.1W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 87.1W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 21.9N 86.8W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. 50 KT...120NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 23.1N 85.7W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. 50 KT...120NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 125SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 24.9N 83.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...125NE 125SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 125SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 27.8N 79.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT...125NE 125SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...200NE 225SE 125SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 38.0N 69.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...125NE 125SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...200NE 225SE 125SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 45.0N 58.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 49.0N 44.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N 87.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z FORECASTER KNABB |
