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| #531567 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 PM 03.Aug.2012) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052012 500 PM AST FRI AUG 03 2012 ...ERNESTO MOVING QUICKLY THROUGH THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.9N 64.1W ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM W OF ST. LUCIA ABOUT 340 MI...545 KM SSE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.1 WEST. ERNESTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK ERNESTO WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TODAY BUT SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THEREAFTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES ARE STILL POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
