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#53262 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:40 AM 23.Oct.2005)
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALPHA ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2005

...ALPHA WEAKENS OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF HISPANIOLA...TORRENTIAL RAINS
WILL CONTINUE...

AT 11 AM...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE
COASTLINES OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ALPHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE
72.5 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES...285 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF SANTO
DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND ABOUT 140 MILES...225
KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH
...24 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH... 55
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT ALFA COULD REGAIN
TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH WHEN THE CENTER MOVES BACK OVER WATER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER MUCH OF HISPANIOLA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...19.2 N... 72.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
EDT.

FORECASTER AVILA