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#53695 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:12 AM 24.Oct.2005)
TCDAT4
HURRICANE WILMA DISCUSSION NUMBER 37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005

THE GEOMETRIC CENTER OF THE LARGE EYE OF WILMA IS NOW MOVING OFF THE
COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA NEAR PALM BEACH. HOWEVER...THE EYE
REMAINS QUITE LARGE AND COMPLETELY INTACT... EVEN ON THE WEST OR
BACK SIDE THAT IS STILL OVER THE PENINSULA. SOME INLAND AREAS HAVE
BEEN EXPERIENCING A RELATIVE CALM PERIOD... BUT ONE THAT IS FAIRLY
SHORT-LIVED DUE TO THE FAST NORTHEASTWARD MOTION OF ABOUT 22 KT.
WINDS IN THE WESTERN EYEWALL REMAIN JUST ABOUT AS STRONG AS ON THE
EAST SIDE. NWS MIAMI WSR-88D RADAR VELOCITIES STILL INDICATE WINDS
NEAR 120 KT AT ABOUT 5000 FT OVER LAND. EVEN STRONGER WINDS ARE
PROBABLY STILL OCCURRING OVER WATER... AND THE INTENSITY IS LOWERED
ONLY SLIGHTLY TO 90 KT. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS THROUGHOUT FLORIDA
INDICATE THE SYSTEM REMAINS LARGE... AND NONE OF THE WARNINGS FOR
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA CAN YET BE DISCONTINUED. ONLY A GRADUAL
WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WILMA SHOULD
TRANSFORM INTO A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN A DAY OR TWO
AS IT INTERACTS WITH AN INTENSE BAROCLINIC TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN
UNITED STATES. THE TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECASTS ARE ESSENTIALLY
JUST UPDATES OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY... EXCEPT TO SPEED UP THE
FORECAST SLIGHTLY TO KEEP UP WITH THE DYNAMICAL MODEL CONSENSUS.


FORECASTER KNABB


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 24/1500Z 26.9N 80.0W 90 KT
12HR VT 25/0000Z 30.3N 75.8W 85 KT
24HR VT 25/1200Z 36.1N 68.9W 70 KT
36HR VT 26/0000Z 42.1N 61.6W 60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 26/1200Z 44.9N 55.7W 60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 27/1200Z 46.5N 44.0W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 28/1200Z 47.5N 36.0W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 29/1200Z 49.0N 25.0W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL