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| #540156 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:59 PM 04.Sep.2012) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 2100 UTC TUE SEP 04 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 43.7W AT 04/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 43.7W AT 04/2100Z AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 43.6W FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 28.1N 43.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 28.8N 43.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 29.4N 43.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 29.9N 42.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 30.9N 43.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 32.0N 44.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 33.5N 46.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.5N 43.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
