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| #540317 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:38 AM 05.Sep.2012) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 0900 UTC WED SEP 05 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 43.9W AT 05/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 43.9W AT 05/0900Z AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 43.9W FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 28.6N 43.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 29.4N 43.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 30.0N 42.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 30.7N 42.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 31.8N 43.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 33.0N 45.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 34.0N 46.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.1N 43.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
