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| #552088 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:36 PM 23.Oct.2012) TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192012 2100 UTC TUE OCT 23 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 50.0W AT 23/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 50.0W AT 23/2100Z AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 50.5W FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 27.4N 48.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 28.8N 45.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 60SE 40SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 29.8N 42.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 30.7N 39.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 60SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 33.5N 34.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 40.0N 34.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.3N 50.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
