F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


2024's Atlantic name list reuses 2018s, with Milton replacing Michael, and Francine Replacing Florence.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 247 (Idalia) , Major: 247 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 247 (Idalia) Major: 247 (Idalia)
 
Show Selection:
Show plain - Location:
#5680 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 AM 19.Aug.2004)
TCDAT4
TROPICAL STORM DANIELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU AUG 19 2004

DANIELLE CONSISTS OF A TIGHT SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS WITH PATCHES OF
DEEP CONVECTION TO THE NORTH. A HIGH RESOLUTION QUIKSCAT PASS OVER
THE CYCLONE EARLIER THIS MORNING SHOWS WIND VECTORS SUPPORTING
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. INITIAL
INTENSITY IS 35 KNOTS. STRONGER SHEAR IS FORECAST TO PREVAIL OVER
DANIELLE SO WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED AS SUGGESTED BY THE SHIPS
MODEL.

DANIELLE WAS MEANDERING DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS AND IS NOW
DRIFTING EASTWARD. HOWEVER...THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A
SLOW NORTHEAST TRACK ABOUT 4 TO 5 KNOTS LATER TODAY. BECAUSE THE
STEERING CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEAK...NO INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS INDICATED THROUGH 48 HOURS.

FORECASTER AVILA

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 19/1500Z 30.0N 37.4W 35 KT
12HR VT 20/0000Z 30.5N 37.0W 30 KT
24HR VT 20/1200Z 31.0N 36.5W 25 KT
36HR VT 21/0000Z 32.0N 35.5W 25 KT
48HR VT 21/1200Z 32.5N 34.5W 25 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 22/1200Z 34.0N 32.0W 25 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 23/1200Z 36.0N 28.0W 25 KT...EXTRATROPICAL