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| #6162 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 PM 26.Aug.2004) TCMAT1 HURRICANE FRANCES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062004 2100Z THU AUG 26 2004 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 46.4W AT 26/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 35NE 20SE 20SW 35NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 55SE 55SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 46.4W AT 26/2100Z AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 45.7W FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 14.6N 48.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 65SE 65SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 15.8N 50.2W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 75SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.9N 51.7W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.8N 52.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 19.0N 55.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 65NE 65SE 65SW 65NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 20.5N 58.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 21.5N 62.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 46.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z FORECASTER STEWART |
