Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane CenterHurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


#Harvey development odds now 100% Models suggest Tx #Hurricane Regardless, Harvey and #92L both serious flood risks. #flhurricane.com
# of days since last Hurricane Landfall - US: Any 318 (Matthew) , Major: 4321 (11 y 9 m) (Wilma) Florida - Any: 355 (Hermine) Major: 4321 (11 y 9 m) (Wilma)
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
ADS
Login to remove ads

 
Show Selection:
Show plain - Location:
#636384 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:42 PM 04.Oct.2013)
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122013
0300 UTC SAT OCT 05 2013

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS
* LAKE MAUREPAS
* LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN
* EAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KAREN.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 90.5W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 90.5W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 90.3W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 27.1N 90.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 28.1N 90.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 29.0N 88.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 30.5N 86.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 34.5N 80.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.4N 90.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA