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#636654 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:38 PM 05.Oct.2013)
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122013
1000 PM CDT SAT OCT 05 2013

...KAREN WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION OVER THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING DISCONTINUED...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.1N 91.9W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM SSW OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM WSW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS OR WATCHES IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF COAST SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE AT WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.9 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS STATIONARY. HOWEVER...A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST AND
AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON SUNDAY. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST IS
FORECAST MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF KAREN WILL
MOVE NEAR OR OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA ON
SUNDAY...AND MOVE JUST SOUTH OF THE GULF COAST FROM ALABAMA TO THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND KAREN IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW BY
MONDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE...LOCALIZED COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS
OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.

RAINFALL...KAREN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
1 TO 3 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST AND
SOUTHEASTERN STATES THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...MAINLY NEAR AND TO
THE RIGHT OF THE PATH OF THE CENTER.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART