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| #727198 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 PM 27.Oct.2014) TCDAT4 TROPICAL STORM HANNA DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092014 500 PM EDT MON OCT 27 2014 The surface center of Hanna has been somewhat difficult to locate, but based on visible satellite imagery, it appears to have moved inland over extreme northeastern Nicaragua. For now, the intensity is held at 35 kt to account for the possibility of tropical-storm- force winds still occurring to the north of the center near the coast of eastern Honduras. The initial motion is 260/6 kt. Hanna's center is forecast to turn west-southwestward and move farther inland over northern Nicaragua during the next 12 hours, more or less in line with the GFS and ECMWF solutions. Interaction with more mountainous terrain should cause the system to weaken quickly, with the surface center dissipating by Tuesday afternoon. The main hazard associated with Hanna continues to be very heavy rainfall. Hanna could produce 10 to 12 inches (250 to 300 mm) of rain, with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches (400 mm), across Honduras and northern Nicaragua. These rains could produce flash flooding and mudslides. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 27/2100Z 14.6N 83.9W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 12H 28/0600Z 14.2N 84.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 24H 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Berg |
