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#7292 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:48 PM 03.Sep.2004)
TCDAT1
HURRICANE FRANCES DISCUSSION NUMBER 40
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT FRI SEP 03 2004

DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE AND SATELLITE INDICATE THAT FRANCES
HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS AND
REMAINS A DANGEROUS HURRICANE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS KEPT AT 100
KNOTS BUT...BASED ON RECENT OBSERVATIONS FROM THE STEPPED-FREQUENCY
MICROWAVE RADIOMETER...SFMR...INSTRUMENT ON BOARD A NOAA
AIRCRAFT...THE WIND FIELD APPEARS TO BE EXPANDING A LITTLE BIT.
THIS NECESSITATES EXTENSION OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING NORTHWARD
ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST. THE HURRICANE HAS ABOUT 24 HOURS TO
STRENGTHEN...IF AT ALL...WHILE MOVING OVER WATER. ALTHOUGH NONE OF
THE GUIDANCE SHOW SIGNIFICANT STREGTHENING...THERE IS A SMALL
OPPORTUNITY FOR FRANCES TO RE-INTENSIFY SOMEWHAT AS IT PASSES OVER
THE GULF STREAM AND APPROACHES THE FLORIDA COAST.

AS ANTICIPATED...THE HURRICANE IS MOVING RIGHT ON TR

****ERROR: INCOMPLETE DATA



000
ABNT20 KNHC 031508
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT FRI SEP 3 2004

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
FRANCES...CENTERED ABOUT 40 MILES NORTHWEST OF ELEUTHERA ISLAND IN
THE BAHAMAS...AND ABOUT 220 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE FLORIDA
LOWER EAST COAST.

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ALSO ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM IVAN...LOCATED ABOUT 745 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS.

A LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE OVER THIS AREA...AND ANY
DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IVAN ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT34 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT4. FORECAST/ADVISORIES
ON IVAN ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT24 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER
MIATCMAT4.

FORECASTER PASCH