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#7511 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:39 PM 04.Sep.2004)
TCMAT1
HURRICANE FRANCES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 45
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062004
0300Z SUN SEP 05 2004

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA
FROM FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND
BAHAMA...ABACO...BIMIMI AND THE BERRY ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER
BEACH TO ALTAMAHA SOUND.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO
FERNANDINA BEACH.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA...ON THE WEST COAST...FROM ST. MARKS SOUTHWARD AROUND THE
SOUTHERN END OF THE PENNISULA TO JUST SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY ON THE
SOUTHEAST COAST...AND FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS FROM SOUTH OF
FLORIDA CITY TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR FLORIDA BAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
FROM WEST OF ST. MARKS TO PANAMA CITY.


HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 79.7W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB
EYE DIAMETER 45 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 75NE 60SE 50SW 75NW.
50 KT.......120NE 100SE 90SW 120NW.
34 KT.......175NE 125SE 125SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..350NE 350SE 175SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 79.7W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 79.5W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 27.3N 80.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT...120NE 100SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT...175NE 125SE 75SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 28.3N 82.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...100NE 75SE 25SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 75SE 75SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 29.5N 84.1W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 75SE 25SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 75SE 75SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 30.7N 85.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 50SE 50SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 75SE 75SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 33.2N 87.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 36.0N 87.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 40.5N 84.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.1N 79.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

FORECASTER AVILA