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| #805047 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:43 PM 03.Oct.2015) TCMAT1 HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015 2100 UTC SAT OCT 03 2015 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR BERMUDA...THE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 70.5W AT 03/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 934 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 90SE 50SW 45NW. 34 KT.......140NE 180SE 100SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..420NE 240SE 240SW 540NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 70.5W AT 03/2100Z AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 71.0W FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 29.0N 68.7W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT... 60NE 90SE 50SW 45NW. 34 KT...140NE 180SE 100SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 31.5N 67.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT... 60NE 90SE 50SW 45NW. 34 KT...140NE 180SE 100SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 33.7N 66.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 60NE 90SE 50SW 45NW. 34 KT...180NE 200SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 36.0N 64.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 90SE 50SW 45NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 40.0N 56.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 200SE 180SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 45.0N 40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 50.0N 25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N 70.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
