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Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued for area in the East-Central Atlantic, only with 10% chance for development, not expected to do much.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 240 (Idalia) , Major: 240 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 240 (Idalia) Major: 240 (Idalia)
 
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#858251 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:49 AM 29.May.2016)
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022016
500 AM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016

...BONNIE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY WHILE IT MOVES NORTHWARD...
...SIGNIFICANT RAINS AFFECTING MUCH OF EASTERN GEORGIA...SOUTH
CAROLINA...AND SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.1N 79.4W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM SSW OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued from Edisto Beach
South Carolina southwestward to the Savannah River.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* East of Edisto Beach to Little River Inlet South Carolina

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bonnie was
located near latitude 32.1 North, longitude 79.4 West. Bonnie is
moving toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue today. On the forecast track, the
center of Bonnie is expected to move near the coast in the warning
area later today. A slow northeastward motion near the central and
northern coast of South Carolina is expected by tonight and on
Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next
24 hours, followed by slow weakening on Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km),
mainly to the northwest of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Bonnie is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches from
central and eastern South Carolina to the Georgia border, and 1 to
3 inches farther north across southeastern North Carolina. Heavy
rain is expected to develop well north of Bonnie's main circulation
into parts of the Mid-Atlantic region and the Northeast with total
accumulations of 1 to 2 inches through Monday and isolated maximum
amounts of 4 inches.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the coast
within the warning area later this morning or afternoon.

STORM SURGE: Storm surge inundation of 1 to 2 feet above ground
level is possible within the tropical storm warning area during the
next high tide this afternoon.

SURF: Bonnie is expected to produce life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions along portions of the southeastern United States
coast through the weekend. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

TORNADOES: An isolated tornado is still possible through this
afternoon over the immediate South Carolina coastal region.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart