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| #877258 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:36 PM 07.Oct.2016) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 2100 UTC FRI OCT 07 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 65.2W AT 07/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 185 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 65.2W AT 07/2100Z AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 65.3W FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 26.2N 65.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 25.4N 64.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 25.1N 64.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 25.5N 65.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 27.4N 66.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 29.7N 66.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 32.6N 66.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N 65.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN |
