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#92L with 40% Odds. Likely to Recurve. #Ophelia Heading to Ireland as a Powerful Post-Tropical Hurricane-Force Storrm
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 9 (Nate) , Major: 26 (Maria) Florida - Any: 36 (Irma) Major: 36 (Irma)
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#894614 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:33 PM 06.Jul.2017)
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Four Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042017
500 PM AST Thu Jul 06 2017

...DEPRESSION ACCELERATING WESTWARD AND STILL NOT VERY WELL
ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.1N 44.9W
ABOUT 1110 MI...1785 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Four was
located near latitude 13.1 North, longitude 44.9 West. The
depression is moving toward the west near 23 mph (37 km/h). A
westward to west-northwestward motion at a similar forward speed is
expected through Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.
The depression is expected to degenerate to a remnant low by Friday
night, but it could also open up into a tropical wave at any time.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Berg