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Tracking a Caribbean Wave and keeping an eye on the potential for new Caribbean Gyre/Trough development next week
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 14 (Nate) , Major: 32 (Maria) Florida - Any: 42 (Irma) Major: 42 (Irma)
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#895759 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:36 AM 18.Jul.2017)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM DON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052017
0900 UTC TUE JUL 18 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GRENADA
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBADOS
* ST. LUCIA
* BONAIRE

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... IN THIS CASE IN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO... ARUBA... AND CURACAO SHOULD
MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF DON.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 56.2W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 56.2W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 55.4W

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 11.8N 59.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 12.1N 63.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 12.4N 67.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 12.7N 71.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.5N 56.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART