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Tracking a Caribbean Wave and keeping an eye on the potential for new Caribbean Gyre/Trough development next week
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 15 (Nate) , Major: 33 (Maria) Florida - Any: 43 (Irma) Major: 43 (Irma)
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#900248 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:56 AM 28.Aug.2017)
TCMAT5

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102017
0900 UTC MON AUG 28 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO DUCK
* ALBEMARLE SOUND
* PAMLICO SOUND

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO
36 HOURS.

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 81.0W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 81.0W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 81.0W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 31.1N 80.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 32.9N 79.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 35.0N 76.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 37.5N 72.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 41.0N 62.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 60SE 120SW 90NW.
34 KT...240NE 300SE 240SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 44.0N 51.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 48.5N 37.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.3N 81.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA