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#900483 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:02 AM 29.Aug.2017)
TCMAT5

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102017
0900 UTC TUE AUG 29 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
TO LITTLE RIVER INLET.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK
* ALBEMARLE SOUND
* PAMLICO SOUND

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SURF CITY TO LITTLE RIVER INLET

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.5N 78.5W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.5N 78.5W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.8N 79.3W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 35.4N 76.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 120SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 38.0N 71.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 150SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 39.5N 66.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 0SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 270SE 180SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 41.0N 61.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...240NE 330SE 270SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 44.5N 50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 90SE 90SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 300SE 330SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 50.0N 33.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 55.0N 19.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.5N 78.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA