|#903693 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:44 AM 19.Sep.2017)|
Hurricane Jose Intermediate Advisory Number 55A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017
200 AM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017
...LARGE JOSE CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWARD...
...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
THE UNITED STATES...
SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM E OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 395 MI...635 KM S OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.67 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Watch Hill to Hull
* Block Island
* Martha`s Vineyard
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* The coast of Long Island from Fire Island Inlet to Port Jefferson
* New Haven to Watch Hill
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 to
Interests elsewhere along the U.S. east coast from North Carolina
northward to New England should monitor the progress of Jose.
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
At 200 AM EDT (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jose was located
near latitude 35.6 North, longitude 71.3 West. Jose is moving
toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h). This general motion is
expected to continue through today with a turn to the northeast
anticipated tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Jose is
forecast to pass well offshore of the Delmarva peninsula later
today, and pass well to the east of the New Jersey coast on
Maximum sustained winds remain near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is expected today but Jose
should begin to gradually weaken on Wednesday.
Jose is a large tropical cyclone. Hurricane-force winds extend
outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-
force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km), primarily to
the northeast of the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure based on Air Force Hurricane
Hunter data is 971 mb (28.67 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in the
warning area early Wednesday. Tropical storm conditions are
possible in the watch area beginning tonight.
SURF: Swells generated by Jose are affecting Bermuda, the Bahamas,
and much of the U.S. east coast. These swells are likely to cause
dangerous surf and rip current conditions for the next several
days in these areas. For more information, please consult products
from your local weather office.
RAINFALL: Jose is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3
to 5 inches over eastern Long Island, southeast Connecticut,
southern Rhode Island, and southeast Massachusetts, including
Martha`s Vineyard and Nantucket through Wednesday. This rainfall
could cause isolated flooding. Jose is also expected to produce
total rain accumulations up to an inch or so along the northern
mid-Atlantic coast, and from southeast New York to coastal Maine
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.